Background
Mention derivatives and most people will think
of Jérome Kerviel, the infamous Société Générale derivatives
trader, who managed to lose his bank £3.9m by betting on European
stock markets rising, when, in fact, they fell.
But, used correctly derivatives are a way for
insurance companies, pension funds, farmers, City traders and
private investors, as a way of hedging their bets.
'Hedging' can be useful because it can protect
companies and banks against unexpected developments, such as sudden
rises or falls in the value of shares, currencies or
commodities.
Initially it was commodities like wheat, hogs’
bellies or coffee which were used for such trading. Nowadays you
can trade in a whole range of commodities, such as oil, gas and
precious metals.
Traders bought and sold 'future' contracts -
an agreement to buy wheat, say, in three months’ time at a certain
price – thereby protecting themselves from the worry that a crop
failure might drive up the price of wheat in the intervening
months.
In the 1980s, financial futures began to
dominate trading, which involved buying and selling futures or
options on shares, bonds or currencies.
Some investment bankers began to turn hedging
into a profitable business in its own right, gradually developing
complex ways of hedging.
Options
Options and swaps became the next most common
form of derivative trading after futures.
Options were invented because people liked the
security of knowing they could buy or sell at a certain price in
the future, but wanted the chance to profit if the market price
suited them better at the time of delivery.
Swaps are, as their name suggests, an exchange
of one thing for another. They are generally used to swap one
income stream for another using interest rates or currencies. For
example, a company might want to swap a floating interest rate for
a fixed interest rate to minimise financial uncertainty.
There are derivatives available on almost all
types of asset which are traded - the main four being shares,
bonds, currencies, property and commodities.
New ones are even being developed for
catastrophes, such as earthquakes, and even on the creditworthiness
of investors.
How they work
Derivatives are used widely by City traders
because, as a simple monetary value, they are much more flexible to
deal with than the underlying products. The value is based on the
price of the underlying product, but most contracts are settled in
cash terms.
This enables banks, traders or investors such
as George Soros to bet on price movements without having to deal in
the actual assets. So you could gamble, for example, on the output
of Iraqi oilfields, without having to buy one.
Derivatives can also be 'leveraged' or geared
up, to be worth many times the value of the underlying investment-
so that if the price of the asset moves up by £1, the value of the
derivative could change by £10, too.
These instruments can also be used to insure
against adverse price moves. Put simply, you can buy a derivative
which bets that the market will move against you so that you win
either way.
High risk
As the experience of Jerome Kerviel
demonstrated, derivatives trading can be high risk because
contracts, which may be worth millions if the market moves in a
certain way, cost only a fraction of that value.
Usually the market will not move that much and
the contract will be settled or sold to somebody else for a small
gain or loss. However if it does shift significantly, losses can be
huge.
On exchanges, traders normally have to pay any
losses incurred on their position at the end of each day in order
to prevent risks getting out of hand. But in the case of Jerome
Kerviel, he allegedly concealed his trades and the size of his
positions was not realised until it was too late.
Banks have complex computer programmes to flag
up how much they could lose if the market moved by a certain amount
and regulations require them to put money aside to protect against
possible losses.
Covered warrants
Since October 2002, private investors have
been able to buy covered warrants through the London Stock
Exchange. As a result, private investors are able to play on
a level playing field with fund managers and traders.
Put simply, in return for a premium, covered
warrants allow you the option of buying or selling a share at a
fixed price at a specified future date. If, at this date, the
shares are more expensive than the agreed price, you make a profit.
This can be useful protection against falling share prices.
If you are worried that a share might fall in
value, you would be able to sell the stock at a set price. The
drawback is the cost of the covered warrant.
Alternatively, if you think a share is set to
soar, you could, with a warrant, purchase the right to buy the
share at a certain price.
For a relatively small outlay, you could reap
the same gains as another investor who has bought a large
holding of the same share.
Generally speaking, warrants are far more
volatile than shares, exaggerating the price movements of the
underlying stock, both up and down, so these are high risk
instruments which should be used with care.
How much can I lose?
Unfortunately, you could lose your entire
investment. If you call the future share price wrongly, the value
of the covered warrant can fall to nothing.
For example, if a covered warrant allows you
to buy a share at £1, but the price of the share then drops to 50p,
then no one will pay for the right to buy a share at double the
market value.
Do covered warrants have any other uses?
The London Stock Exchange argues that covered
warrants can act as an insurance against falling share prices.
For example, if you were buying 10,000 £1
shares, you could buy a covered warrant that allows a further
10,000 shares to be bought at 80p in a year’s time.
If 11 months later the share price has fallen
to 90p, you would have lost £1,000 on the original investment.
However the covered warrant, so close to
maturity, is likely to have risen in value so that potentially it
covers the loss on the original investment.
Fund managers have, for a long time, used
covered warrants to hedge their share purchases. Despite this, over
the last 10 years, when charges are factored in, the average fund
manager has underperformed the FTSE All Share index.
Is it wise for private investors to trade in covered
warrants?
In September 2002, the Financial Services
Authority (FSA) relaxed its rules barring the marketing of covered
warrants to the general public.
Six City institutions announced that they
would start offering covered warrants to investors and since
October 2002, warrants have been traded on the LSE in the
same way as ordinary company shares.
Initially, the LSE said that sophisticated
investors were being targeted. But today, warrants are being used
by the wider investing public.
But given the high risk and complex nature of
covered warrants, financial advisers recommend that only
sophisticated investors with portfolios in excess of £500,000
should consider using them